Create multiple maps if there is a lot of uncertainty in this step.

If there are key uncer­tain­ties that lim­it your abil­i­ty to make a good esti­mate of how your capac­i­ty and resources will affect the extent of strat­e­gy impact, then cre­ate alter­na­tive maps that cap­ture dif­fer­ent ver­sions of the area of uncertainty.

For exam­ple, if there is a pol­i­cy strat­e­gy that requires sup­port from the rul­ing par­ty, but there is a major elec­tion due 6 months into strat­e­gy imple­men­ta­tion and we have stronger rela­tion­ships with one par­ty than the oth­er, it may be dif­fi­cult to rep­re­sent how our capac­i­ty will affect strat­e­gy scope. In this case, you might cre­ate one map for the case when one par­ty wins the elec­tion, and anoth­er map for the case where the oth­er par­ty wins. You could then see in the next step how much the out­come of the elec­tion would influ­ence the strat­e­gy’s over­all impact, and decide if the risk was acceptable.